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"High Probability of Certain Death with Little Chance of Success... What Are We Waiting For?" But seriously. The probability of anyone spending the necessary (what? $200 million or more, just pulled that out of my #¤%) for the $20 million prize and the publicity is highly unlikely not to mention immeasurably risky endeavor. Big companies will probably think: yea ok, so we spend $200 million dollars to do something that impractical. What will our stock holders think and what will our stock holders think if we fail?! What will a failure say about our products? Our rocket stayed in the air for 15 seconds and killed 3 people but rest assured same will happen when you buy our helicopter? Google should do it. In cooperation with other companies of course because this is not their area of expertise. This is a serious project of almost immeasurable difficulty. 1) Rover - Good luck with off the shelf parts. If the moon dust doesn't get you, radiation, heat/cold and micro meteorites will. 2) Delivery - Those Russian rockets haven't been proving too reliable lately. 3) Landing - Ever played "Lunar lander"? Think 10000 times more difficult. 4) Probability of the rover actually surviving the delivery and the landing 5) How they going to test anything? They're just going to write bug free software and engineer a bug free rover without testing it in anywhere near realistic conditions? Yeah right because we see that happening every day. I'm not getting my hopes up just yet.
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